When bitcoin is the business model, investors should beware | 当比特币成为商业模式:投资者的风险警示 - FT中文网
登录×
电子邮件/用户名
密码
记住我
请输入邮箱和密码进行绑定操作:
请输入手机号码,通过短信验证(目前仅支持中国大陆地区的手机号):
请您阅读我们的用户注册协议隐私权保护政策,点击下方按钮即视为您接受。
FT英语电台

When bitcoin is the business model, investors should beware
当比特币成为商业模式:投资者的风险警示

Most shareholders of listed companies still prefer real assets with predictable cash returns
00:00

Does it make sense for a company to hold a huge pile of cash on its balance sheet? Theoretically, no — it’s better to give the money back to shareholders and let them decide what to do with it. In reality, companies like Apple and Berkshire Hathaway have become enormous piggy banks, and investors seem fine with it.

Some companies are taking this anomaly and running with it — by holding bitcoin rather than dollars. Presidential family business Trump Media & Technology Group has raised $2.5bn for this purpose. It joins libertarian streaming platform Rumble, meme-stock favourite GameStop and Elon Musk’s carmaker Tesla. The granddaddy of crypto treasuries is Strategy — previously known as MicroStrategy — which owns $64bn of bitcoin.

undefined

There are three possible reasons a company might give for holding a digital asset such as bitcoin. One is simply to gain if the price rises. That, aside from being unknowable, is easily dismissed. Investors can invest in the token themselves, directly or through ETFs.

A better reason might be that the company thinks it can do something with bitcoin that investors can’t. In Strategy’s case, that something is shrewd financial engineering involving the issuance of convertible bonds and preferred shares on favourable terms, raising money to buy more tokens.

Strive, a conservative-leaning asset manager about to go public through a merger with a listed company called Asset Entities, hopes to add its own twist to that business model, buying up companies with undervalued cash piles and converting them into bitcoin. It said on Tuesday it planned to raise up to $1.5bn and would deploy it in “alpha-generating”, or market-beating, strategies.

In some cases, companies claim bitcoin is a logical complement to their other businesses. Investors should believe in the profit from such imprecise opportunities when they see it. Rumble wants to offer crypto wallets. Trump Media claims it will generate “synergies for subscription payments, a utility token and other planned transactions”.

undefined

The third argument is that bitcoin is the future, so not holding it would be foolish. Strive chief executive Matt Cole argues loftily that bitcoin should be the baseline from which other assets and investments are measured, and that Strive is its Berkshire Hathaway. Trump Media sees bitcoin as “an apex instrument of financial freedom” that will free it from harassment by mainstream financial institutions.

To someone who believes in bitcoin supremacy, this all makes perfect sense. Companies that leverage up to buy digital tokens will reap magnified returns, sailing joyously towards the point where bitcoin replaces the dollar as the global financial lingua franca. Return on equity is, in this world, old hat; bitcoin per share is the metric to chase.

Most shareholders of listed companies probably still prefer real assets with predictable cash returns. They should see the bitcoin treasury trend as what it is: a risky punt, and an attempt to ride the coat-tails of Strategy, which trades at about 1.6 times the value of its crypto holdings. Then again, the beauty of markets is that there’s a lid for every pot.

版权声明:本文版权归FT中文网所有,未经允许任何单位或个人不得转载,复制或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵权必究。

内塔尼亚胡与伊朗的战争:“对他来说,这是私人恩怨”

在哈马斯于10月7日发动袭击后,这位以色列总理的政治生涯似乎已经走到尽头。但如今,他正推动着一场自己多年来一直主张的冲突。

玛格丽特•米切尔:通用人工智能不过是“氛围和蛇油”

人工智能伦理领域的先驱之一解释了为何人类需求应成为科技发展的核心驱动力。

谁能在伊朗问题上影响特朗普?

从JD•万斯到“猩猩”,MAGA忠诚支持者和军方领导人正争夺在椭圆形办公室的影响力。

为什么华尔街害怕一个33岁的政治局外人

进步派候选人佐赫兰•马姆达尼搅动了纽约市长选举,城市精英们想要阻止他。

以色列空袭伊朗伊斯法罕核设施,特朗普权衡是否介入战争

美国总统认为欧洲领导的停火谈判无效。

扎克伯格如何释放他内心的角斗士

Meta老板的转变震惊了公司内部的自由主义者,但他最亲密的盟友说,这就是他一直以来的样子。
设置字号×
最小
较小
默认
较大
最大
分享×